Was really tempted to move Iowa State to number 4 overall, but the Cyclones just didn't do anything in the non-conference. UNC, despite the loss, remains the last 1 seed. Kentucky as the final 3 seed is somewhat of a placeholder. If Illinois wins the Big Ten Tournament, I'll likely promote them to the 3 seed. Auburn is next in line if they win the SEC Tournament. If neither wins, Kentucky stays at 12 overall. I just don't really love anyone for this final spot, but the Wildcats just kind of have it by default. It is a late change to be making, though. Similarly considering moving Florida to the 5 seed line (20 overall) with an SEC Tournament win, bumping South Carolina to 21 overall on the 6 line. Ordinarily I wouldn't make a change like this on Selection Sunday afternoon, but since it's an intra-conference swap, I'm more inclined to pull the trigger here. I'll sleep on it. The bubble shrunk, and now the decisions get really difficult. I'm moving the First Four games onto the 10 seed line, but I wouldn't be totally surprised if the committee keeps those games on the 11 line by moving two of Drake, Oregon, and NC State onto the 10 line to join the last two teams that get a bye (in my case, TCU and Colorado State). It's somewhat arbitrary, very fluid, and I'll need to dig deeper into these teams tomorrow once the metrics refresh to see who I like where. FAU didn't drop too far in my model for losing today to Temple, but... it's a really weird resume, and now that these bubble teams are coming under scrutiny, the Owls have added a third bad loss at the worst possible time. Might bump them to the 10 line. Between Oklahoma and St. John's, the deciding vote, at least for me, is SJU's Quad-3 loss to Michigan way back on November 13th. Whoops!
Seed List:
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