Bracketology 2023-24: Games through Tuesday, December 12

The first bracket of the year is bound to be a little wonky -- I'm rusty, first of all, and it doesn't help that team resumes and metrics are still pretty noisy. That said, no one cares about mid-December bracket projections, so why not throw these out there?

Seed list:

Overall	Seed	Team	Conf.	Qualification	W/L	HBC Score
1	1	Arizona	P12	Proj. Auto-bid	8-0	87.721
2		Houston	B12	Proj. Auto-bid	10-0	86.535
3		Purdue	B10	Proj. Auto-bid	9-1	86.452
4		Kansas	B12	At Large	8-1	84.681
5	2	Baylor	B12	At Large	8-0	84.351
6		Marquette	BE	Proj. Auto-bid	8-2	83.811
7		Connecticut	BE	At Large	9-1	81.529
8		Clemson	ACC	Proj. Auto-bid	9-0	81.524
9	3	Creighton	BE	At Large	8-1	81.483
10		Tennessee	SEC	Proj. Auto-bid	7-3	81.323
11		BYU	B12	At Large	8-1	80.952
12		Illinois	B10	At Large	7-2	78.588
13	4	Wisconsin	B10	At Large	7-3	78.549
14		Virginia	ACC	At Large	8-1	77.733
15		Alabama	SEC	At Large	6-3	77.186
16		North Carolina	ACC	At Large	7-2	76.376
17	5	Florida Atlantic	Amer	Proj. Auto-bid	7-2	76.330
18		Texas A&M	SEC	At Large	7-3	76.178
19		Gonzaga	WCC	Proj. Auto-bid	7-2	76.074
20		Colorado St.	MWC	Proj. Auto-bid	9-1	75.994
21	6	Duke	ACC	At Large	7-3	75.351
22		Memphis	Amer	At Large	7-2	75.263
23		Auburn	SEC	At Large	6-2	74.485
24		Oklahoma	B12	At Large	9-0	74.158
25	7	Utah	P12	At Large	7-2	74.140
26		Mississippi St.	SEC	At Large	7-2	74.122
27		Iowa St.	B12	At Large	8-2	74.030
28		Ohio St.	B10	At Large	8-2	71.707
29	8	Kentucky	SEC	At Large	7-2	70.740
30		Northwestern	B10	At Large	7-1	70.727
31		San Diego St.	MWC	At Large	7-2	70.225
32		Florida	SEC	At Large	6-3	70.101
33	9	New Mexico	MWC	At Large	9-1	70.029
34		Villanova	BE	At Large	7-4	68.581
35		Princeton	Ivy	Proj. Auto-bid	9-1	68.325
36		Colorado	P12	At Large	7-2	68.122
37	10	Providence	BE	At Large	8-2	67.222
38		Miami FL	ACC	At Large	7-2	66.935
39		Oregon	P12	At Large	7-2	66.459
40		James Madison	SB	Proj. Auto-bid	8-0	66.373
41	11	Indiana St.	MVC	Proj. Auto-bid	8-1	66.302
42		South Carolina	SEC	At Large	8-1	66.265
43		Mississippi	SEC	At Large	9-0	66.220
44		Cincinnati	B12	At Large	8-1	66.039
45	12	Kansas St.	B12	At Large	8-2	65.773
46		Virginia Tech	ACC	At Large	7-3	63.619
47		Butler	BE	At Large	8-2	63.930
48		TCU	B12	At Large	7-1	62.799
49		Dayton	A10	Proj. Auto-bid	7-2	64.678
50		Grand Canyon	WAC	Proj. Auto-bid	8-1	62.294
51	13	Louisiana Tech	CUSA	Proj. Auto-bid	7-2	59.243
52		UC Irvine	BW	Proj. Auto-bid	5-4	57.439
53		UNC Greensboro	SC	Proj. Auto-bid	7-1	55.944
54		McNeese St.	Slnd	Proj. Auto-bid	4-2	55.718
55	14	UNC Wilmington	CAA	Proj. Auto-bid	4-2	55.114
56		Fort Wayne	Horz	Proj. Auto-bid	8-1	54.917
57		Morehead St.	OVC	Proj. Auto-bid	5-3	54.518
58		Akron	MAC	Proj. Auto-bid	5-3	52.729
59	15	Vermont	AE	Proj. Auto-bid	6-3	52.714
60		Portland St.	BSky	Proj. Auto-bid	5-2	49.731
61		Colgate	Pat	Proj. Auto-bid	5-4	48.858
62		Winthrop	BSth	Proj. Auto-bid	6-3	47.061
63	16	Lipscomb	ASun	Proj. Auto-bid	6-5	43.333
64		South Dakota St.	Sum	Proj. Auto-bid	3-5	41.930
65		Marist	MAAC	Proj. Auto-bid	6-2	40.410
66		Norfolk St.	MEAC	Proj. Auto-bid	5-3	37.279
67		Texas Southern	SWAC	Proj. Auto-bid	0-7	29.194
68		Merrimack	NEC	Proj. Auto-bid	3-6	23.872
69	1st out	Texas	B12	At Large	7-2	62.687
70	2nd out	Texas Tech	B12	At Large	7-2	62.577
71	3rd out	North Carolina St.	ACC	At Large	7-2	62.428
72	4th out	Saint Joseph's	A10	At Large	8-2	62.332
73	5th out	Utah St.	MWC	At Large	7-1	61.813
74	6th out	San Francisco	WCC	At Large	6-3	60.984
75	7th out	Drake	MVC	At Large	8-1	60.688
76	8th out	Washington	P12	At Large	6-3	60.578
77	Receiving votes	George Mason	A10	At Large	7-2	59.666
78		Rutgers	B10	At Large	6-3	59.444
79		Appalachian St.	SB	At Large	5-2	59.041
80		Wake Forest	ACC	At Large	6-3	58.827
81		Nevada	MWC	At Large	7-1	58.799
82		Liberty	CUSA	At Large	6-3	58.735
83		Pittsburgh	ACC	At Large	7-3	58.520
84		USC	P12	At Large	5-4	58.101
Conference Auto Bid (May not be the current conference leader. This is my pick to win the conference tournament)
Last 4 In
Last 4 Byes
Conference Breakdown (conferences not shown have only the auto-bid)
B12	9
SEC	9
ACC	6
BE	6
B10	5
P12	4
MWC	3
Amer	2

Bracket:

		Regional Parity
West (Los Angeles)		33	33	South (Dallas)
1	Arizona	1	2	Houston	1
16	Lipscomb			South Dakota St.	16
	Salt Lake City, UT			Memphis, TN
8	San Diego St.			Florida	8
9	Princeton			Colorado	9
5	Florida Atlantic			Gonzaga	5
12	Kansas St. vs. Virginia Tech			Dayton	12
	Charlotte, NC			Brooklyn, NY
4	Wisconsin	13	14	Virginia	4
13	UC Irvine			McNeese St.	13
6	Auburn			Oklahoma	6
11	Cincinnati			Indiana St.	11
	Salt Lake City, UT			Pittsburgh, PA
3	BYU	11	10	Tennessee	3
14	Akron			Fort Wayne	14
7	Mississippi St.			Ohio St.	7
10	Providence			Miami FL	10
	Charlotte, NC			Brooklyn, NY
2	Clemson	8	7	Connecticut	2
15	Colgate			Winthrop	15
		Regional Parity
East (Boston)		37	33	Midwest (Detroit)
1	Kansas	4	3	Purdue	1
16	Merrimack vs. Texas Southern			Norfolk St. vs. Marist	16
	Omaha, NE			Indianapolis, IN
8	Northwestern			Kentucky	8
9	Villanova			New Mexico	9
5	Colorado St.			Texas A&M	5
12	Grand Canyon			Butler vs. TCU	12
	Spokane, WA			Spokane, WA
4	Alabama	15	16	North Carolina	4
13	Louisiana Tech			UNC Greensboro	13
6	Duke			Memphis	6
11	South Carolina			Mississippi	11
	Omaha, NE			Pittsburgh, PA
3	Illinois	12	9	Creighton	3
14	UNC Wilmington			Morehead St.	14
7	Iowa St.			Utah	7
10	Oregon			James Madison	10
	Indianapolis, IN			Memphis, TN
2	Marquette	6	5	Baylor	2
15	Portland St.			Vermont	15